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J1 League Predictions

Japan · season 2025-26 · 23 clubs

J1 League predictions by our AI, across Japan's calendar-year season. The J1 is a precision league — constant intensity, tight margins and tactical discipline that makes games more readable for a statistical model than many European leagues. Japan is one of the very few championships where our 1X2 passed our strictest certification: proven positive returns against real odds across multiple seasons, verifiable in our public journal.

2,57
goals / match
49 %
matches over 2.5
49 %
BTTS matches
2,5
cards / match
9,7
corners / match
529
matches played · season 2025-26

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

01/11Yokohama F. Marinos — Kawasaki Frontale4–2
01/11V-Varen Nagasaki — Verdy1–2
01/11Machida — Gamba Osaka0–0
01/11JEF United Chiba — Avispa Fukuoka3–0
31/10Vissel Kobe — Nagoya Grampus3–1
31/10Okayama — FC Tokyo0–4
31/10Mito HollyHock — Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–3
31/10Kyoto — Shimizu S-Pulse2–0
31/10Kashiwa Reysol — Urawa Reds4–0
31/10Kashima Antlers — Cerezo Osaka4–1

Top scorers

season 2025-26
1 Léo CearáKashima 10 goals 3 assists
2 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10 goals 2 assists
3 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10 goals
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9 goals 2 assists
5 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8 goals 1 assists

Standings

season 2025-26
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Kashiwa Reysol 5331139 9556+39 106 WLDWW
2 Kashima Antlers 5331913 8958+31 102 WWDLW
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52301012 7938+41 100 WWLWW
4 Vissel Kobe 53271214 7247+25 93 LWLDW
5 Machida 53261413 8651+35 92 WWWDD
6 Kyoto 53231515 8269+13 84 LLDDW
7 FC Tokyo 53221516 7561+14 81 WWDWW
8 Urawa Reds 53231218 6769-2 81 LWWWL
9 Kawasaki Frontale 52211615 9480+14 79 LWWWL
10 Gamba Osaka 53201320 7279-7 73 LDWDD
11 Cerezo Osaka 53181619 7883-5 70 DLDDL
12 Yokohama F. Marinos 53181421 7062+8 68 DDDDW
13 Okayama 53181124 5265-13 65 LLWLL
14 Avispa Fukuoka 53151424 5165-14 59 WLLLL
15 Shimizu S-Pulse 53151424 5277-25 59 WDLLL
16 Nagoya Grampus 53151325 6281-19 58 WWDDL
17 Verdy 53131624 3768-31 55 LLDWW
18 Yokohama FC 389821 2745-18 35 DLLLW
19 Shonan Bellmare 388822 3663-27 32 DLWWL
20 Albirex Niigata 3841222 3667-31 24 LDLLD
21 V-Varen Nagasaki 15537 1821-3 18 DLWLL
22 JEF United Chiba 15258 1828-10 11 DDLDW
23 Mito HollyHock 152310 1227-15 9 LLLLL
Continental spots Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Match result (1X2)
46 %
winning calls · n=81
Over/Under 2.5
48 %
winning calls · n=80

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

01/11 Yokohama F. Marinos – Kawasaki Frontale btts_no @ 2,50 ✗
01/11 V-Varen Nagasaki – Verdy btts_yes @ 1,91 ✓
01/11 Machida – Gamba Osaka btts_yes @ 1,80 ✗
01/11 JEF United Chiba – Avispa Fukuoka btts_yes @ 1,91 ✗
01/11 Yokohama F. Marinos – Kawasaki Frontale under35 @ 1,57 ✗
01/11 Yokohama F. Marinos – Kawasaki Frontale over15 @ 1,18 ✓

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are J1 League predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every J1 League match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for J1 League matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the J1 League table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and J1 League scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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