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Bulgarian First League Predictions

Bulgaria · season 2026 · 14 clubs

Bulgarian First League predictions by our AI. The most locked-down league in our entire coverage — 2.38 goals per game, just 44 % over 2.5 — ruled by Ludogorets for over a decade. Recently added to our coverage: the model's record here is being built in public, with no filtering.

2,68
goals / match
49 %
matches over 2.5
52 %
BTTS matches
4,9
cards / match
7,5
corners / match
90
matches played · season 2026

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

02/11Cherno More Varna — Botev Vratsa1–0
02/11Arda Kardzhali — Septemvri Sofia2–1
31/10Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Ludogorets0–3
31/10Dunav Ruse — Levski Sofia0–1
31/10CSKA Sofia — Slavia Sofia0–0
30/10Lokomotiv Sofia — Botev Plovdiv2–5
30/10CSKA 1948 — Spartak Varna6–1
27/10Cherno More Varna — Septemvri Sofia2–0
27/10Arda Kardzhali — Levski Sofia1–1
26/10Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Slavia Sofia0–0

Standings

season 2026
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Levski Sofia 121020 255+20 32 WDWDW
2 CSKA Sofia 13940 299+20 31 WDWWD
3 Ludogorets 12921 249+15 29 WWWLW
4 CSKA 1948 13913 3114+17 28 WWLWW
5 Botev Plovdiv 13715 2220+2 22 WWWLW
6 Arda Kardzhali 13634 1819-1 21 LDLDW
7 Slavia Sofia 13274 990 13 DLLDD
8 Spartak Varna 13346 1223-11 13 DLWLL
9 Cherno More Varna 13337 1422-8 12 DDLWW
10 Dunav Ruse 13328 1522-7 11 LDWWL
11 Botev Vratsa 13247 1022-12 10 DDLDL
12 Lokomotiv Sofia 13166 1525-10 9 LWDDL
13 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13238 617-11 9 LDDDL
14 Septemvri Sofia 13229 1125-14 8 LLLLL
Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Over/Under 2.5
46 %
winning calls · n=59
Match result (1X2)
54 %
winning calls · n=59

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

02/11 Cherno More Varna – Botev Vratsa btts_no @ 1,80 ✓
02/11 Arda Kardzhali – Septemvri Sofia btts_no @ 1,70 ✗
02/11 Cherno More Varna – Botev Vratsa under35 @ 1,23 ✓
02/11 Cherno More Varna – Botev Vratsa over15 @ 1,42 ✗
02/11 Cherno More Varna – Botev Vratsa dnb_home @ 1,42 ✓
02/11 Cherno More Varna – Botev Vratsa dc_12 @ 1,35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are Bulgarian First League predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every Bulgarian First League match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for Bulgarian First League matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the Bulgarian First League table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Bulgarian First League scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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